Enerpac Tool Group Corp. logo EPAC - Enerpac Tool Group Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 15
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $50.00
CONSENSUS: $50.00
UPSIDE: 34.59%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 45.7% above fair value
Current Price $37.15
Bear Case $20.40 45.1% downside ($20.40 - $37.15) / $37.15 = -45.1% $1.70 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $25.50 31.4% downside ($25.50 - $37.15) / $37.15 = -31.4% $1.70 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $30.60 17.6% downside ($30.60 - $37.15) / $37.15 = -17.6% $1.70 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.7$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.70, the base-case value is $25.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $50.00
Analyst Range $50.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 49%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $50.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 49% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples