Enerpac Tool Group Corp. logo EPAC - Enerpac Tool Group Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 15
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $51.00
LOW: $23.00
MEDIAN: $37.00
CONSENSUS: $37.00
UPSIDE: 7.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 18.5% above fair value
Current Price $34.52
Bear Case $23.32 32.5% downside ($23.32 - $34.52) / $34.52 = -32.5% $1.77 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $29.14 15.6% downside ($29.14 - $34.52) / $34.52 = -15.6% $1.77 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $34.97 1.3% upside ($34.97 - $34.52) / $34.52 = 1.3% $1.77 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.77$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.00 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $29.14 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $37.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 28% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples