EGP - EastGroup Properties, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$204.73
DETAILS
HIGH:
$230.00
LOW:
$172.00
MEDIAN:
$210.00
CONSENSUS:
$204.73
DOWNSIDE:
0.21%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
28.6x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($8.82) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
23.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $204.73 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $238.01 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify