Ecopetrol S.A. logo EC - Ecopetrol S.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.85 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.70
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.85
CONSENSUS: $16.85
DOWNSIDE: 4.10%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 66.9 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C 55.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 14.6% 79/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.90 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
A- 85.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 22.2% 96/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.0% 66/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
A- 85.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 17.3% 95/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 37.8% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 4.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
A 88.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 15.1% 82/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.27x 96/100
Contributes 22.1 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B- 66.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.42x 62/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 3.21x 47/100
  • Altman Z-Score 420.91 100/100
Contributes 16.7 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 35.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.73 11/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 7.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
-84.0%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.