AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Eni S.p.A.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag E as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Eni S.p.A.'s fair value?

Fair value for E is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value E?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from E's most recent reported fundamentals.

E - Eni S.p.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $64.30 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 15.3% above fair value

Current Price $52.40

Bear Case $21.02 59.9% downside ($21.02 - $52.40) / $52.40 = -59.9% FCF $4475M × 12x

Fair Value $45.44 13.3% downside ($45.44 - $52.40) / $52.40 = -13.3% FCF $5265M × 16x

Bull Case $74.92 43.0% upside ($74.92 - $52.40) / $52.40 = 43.0% FCF $6055M × 20x

Adjust Assumptions

Oil Price ($/bbl)

75.0$/bbl

EV/FCF Multiple

16.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $64.30 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $45.44 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Debt per share ($18.90) is significant relative to the stock price. Even small changes in the debt figure meaningfully shift what each share is worth.

ℹ Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $64.30 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1376 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential