Domino's Pizza, Inc. logo DPZ - Domino's Pizza, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 28
HOLD 23
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $425.94 DETAILS
HIGH: $540.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $422.50
CONSENSUS: $425.94
UPSIDE: 34.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.7% below fair value
Current Price $316.52
Bear Case $338.37 6.9% upside ($338.37 - $316.52) / $316.52 = 6.9% $17.94 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $404.16 27.7% upside ($404.16 - $316.52) / $316.52 = 27.7% $17.94 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $469.96 48.5% upside ($469.96 - $316.52) / $316.52 = 48.5% $17.94 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.9x
17.94$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $425.94 from 52 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $404.16 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples