DLR - Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$208.92
DETAILS
HIGH:
$235.00
LOW:
$180.00
MEDIAN:
$210.50
CONSENSUS:
$208.92
UPSIDE:
8.80%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
35.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($9.12) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
21.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $208.92 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $234.24 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $70.41 (71% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify