Digital Realty Trust, Inc. logo DLR - Digital Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 32
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $221.06 DETAILS
HIGH: $240.00
LOW: $197.00
MEDIAN: $222.00
CONSENSUS: $221.06
UPSIDE: 14.94%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 17.8% below fair value
Current Price $192.32
Bear Case $191.29 0.5% downside ($191.29 - $192.32) / $192.32 = -0.5% $8.66 FFO × 29x
Fair Value $233.85 21.6% upside ($233.85 - $192.32) / $192.32 = 21.6% $8.66 FFO × 35x
Bull Case $276.41 43.7% upside ($276.41 - $192.32) / $192.32 = 43.7% $8.66 FFO × 42x

Adjust Assumptions

35.1x
8.66$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($8.66) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 22.2x

Plain-Language Summary

At $8.66 FFO/share with a 35x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $233.85 per share. Dividend yield: 2.5%. DDM cross-check: $70.41.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (48 analysts) $221.06
Analyst Range $197.00 – $240.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 6%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $70.41 (70% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify