DLR - Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$222.35
DETAILS
HIGH:
$240.00
LOW:
$197.00
MEDIAN:
$223.00
CONSENSUS:
$222.35
UPSIDE:
24.38%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
35.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($8.66) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
20.6x
Plain-Language Summary
At $8.66 FFO/share with a 35x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $233.85 per share. Dividend yield: 2.7%. DDM cross-check: $70.41.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (49 analysts)
$222.35
Analyst Range
$197.00 – $240.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
5%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $70.41 (70% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify