Digital Realty Trust, Inc. logo DLR - Digital Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 28
HOLD 18
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $208.92 DETAILS
HIGH: $235.00
LOW: $180.00
MEDIAN: $210.50
CONSENSUS: $208.92
UPSIDE: 8.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.0% below fair value
Current Price $192.03
Bear Case $191.58 0.2% downside ($191.58 - $192.03) / $192.03 = -0.2% $9.12 FFO × 29x
Fair Value $234.24 22.0% upside ($234.24 - $192.03) / $192.03 = 22.0% $9.12 FFO × 35x
Bull Case $276.90 44.2% upside ($276.90 - $192.03) / $192.03 = 44.2% $9.12 FFO × 42x

Adjust Assumptions

35.1x
9.12$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($9.12) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 21.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $208.92 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $234.24 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $70.41 (71% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify