D.R. Horton, Inc. logo DHI - D.R. Horton, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
2
BUY 22
HOLD 25
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $163.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $190.00
LOW: $129.00
MEDIAN: $163.00
CONSENSUS: $163.86
UPSIDE: 14.01%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.5 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C 56.9
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 15.3% 81/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.94 pp/yr 1/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 92.6
  • 5yr Avg ROE 19.1% 90/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -4.1% 98/100
Contributes 13.9 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
C 51.6
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 5.4% 62/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 0.3% 22/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 5.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C- 49.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 5.8% 53/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.47x 44/100
Contributes 7.4 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 94.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.63x 89/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 5.67 100/100
Contributes 23.7 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 43.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.67 16/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 8.8 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
+115.7%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.