Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. logo DFIN - Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $61.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $62.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $61.00
CONSENSUS: $61.00
UPSIDE: 17.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.2% below fair value
Current Price $51.81
Bear Case $55.08 6.3% upside ($55.08 - $51.81) / $51.81 = 6.3% $3.06 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $65.79 27.0% upside ($65.79 - $51.81) / $51.81 = 27.0% $3.06 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $76.50 47.7% upside ($76.50 - $51.81) / $51.81 = 47.7% $3.06 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
3.06$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.06, the base-case value is $65.79 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $61.00
Analyst Range $60.00 – $62.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 8%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 166%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples