Sprinklr, Inc. logo CXM - Sprinklr, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.25
LOW: $6.25
MEDIAN: $6.25
CONSENSUS: $6.25
DOWNSIDE: 10.07%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.3% below fair value
Current Price $6.95
Bear Case $7.35 5.8% upside ($7.35 - $6.95) / $6.95 = 5.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $8.72 25.4% upside ($8.72 - $6.95) / $6.95 = 25.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $9.97 43.5% upside ($9.97 - $6.95) / $6.95 = 43.5% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 13.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.5% vs our 7.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $8.72 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $6.25
Analyst Range $6.25 – $6.25
Divergence from AlphaVal 40%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 369% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $6.25 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 40% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions