Sprinklr, Inc. logo CXM - Sprinklr, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.00
LOW: $6.25
MEDIAN: $7.12
CONSENSUS: $7.13
UPSIDE: 35.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.8% below fair value
Current Price $5.27
Bear Case $4.63 12.2% downside ($4.63 - $5.27) / $5.27 = -12.2% FCF continues to decline, 4x multiple
Fair Value $5.97 13.4% upside ($5.97 - $5.27) / $5.27 = 13.4% Current FCF stabilizes, 6x multiple
Bull Case $7.32 38.9% upside ($7.32 - $5.27) / $5.27 = 38.9% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 8x

Adjust Assumptions

6.0x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 5.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Current FCF × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.13 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $5.97 per share.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case