Sprinklr, Inc. logo CXM - Sprinklr, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.25
LOW: $6.25
MEDIAN: $6.25
CONSENSUS: $6.25
UPSIDE: 6.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.2% below fair value
Current Price $5.89
Bear Case $6.83 15.9% upside ($6.83 - $5.89) / $5.89 = 15.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $8.10 37.4% upside ($8.10 - $5.89) / $5.89 = 37.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $9.26 57.1% upside ($9.26 - $5.89) / $5.89 = 57.1% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 10.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.2% vs our 7.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.25 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $8.10 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 369% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $6.25 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 40% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions