Consolidated Water: Hawaii Delays Have Crushed Sentiment, But The Thesis Is Still Intact
Consolidated Water's stock price has dropped 22% due to permitting delays in the Hawaii desalination project, the key near-term growth catalyst. Q1FY26 results reflect a temporary transition: revenue declined 11% YoY, but O&M recurring revenue and Bulk segment remained resilient, supporting margins. My revised thesis assumes Hawaii construction revenue starts in FY2027, offering a potential 27% annual total return if the project proceeds as expected.