Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation logo CTSH - Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 24
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $64.77 DETAILS
HIGH: $82.00
LOW: $51.00
MEDIAN: $65.00
CONSENSUS: $64.77
UPSIDE: 4.13%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 8.9% below fair value
Current Price $62.20
Bear Case $54.60 12.2% downside ($54.60 - $62.20) / $62.20 = -12.2% $4.55 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $68.25 9.7% upside ($68.25 - $62.20) / $62.20 = 9.7% $4.55 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $81.90 31.7% upside ($81.90 - $62.20) / $62.20 = 31.7% $4.55 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.55, the base-case value is $68.25 per share. DDM cross-check: $37.31.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (51 analysts) $64.77
Analyst Range $51.00 – $82.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 5%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $37.31 (below our primary estimate by 45%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples