CRM - Salesforce, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$271.91
DETAILS
HIGH:
$325.00
LOW:
$215.00
MEDIAN:
$275.00
CONSENSUS:
$271.91
UPSIDE:
15.86%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.3%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
16.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
6.5%
vs our 14.3% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $428.98 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (98 analysts)
$271.91
Analyst Range
$215.00 – $325.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
58%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 47% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $271.91 (from 98 analysts). Our estimate is 58% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions