Campbell Soup Company logo CPB - Campbell Soup Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 16
SELL 11
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.21 DETAILS
HIGH: $28.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $20.21
DOWNSIDE: 5.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 49.9% below fair value
Current Price $21.38
Bear Case $35.14 64.4% upside ($35.14 - $21.38) / $21.38 = 64.4% $2.51 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $42.67 99.6% upside ($42.67 - $21.38) / $21.38 = 99.6% $2.51 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $50.20 134.8% upside ($50.20 - $21.38) / $21.38 = 134.8% $2.51 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.51, the base-case value is $42.67 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $20.21
Analyst Range $18.00 – $28.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 111%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 92%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 108% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $20.21 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 111% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples