CPB - Campbell Soup Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$20.21
DETAILS
HIGH:
$28.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$20.00
CONSENSUS:
$20.21
DOWNSIDE:
5.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
2.51$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
8.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.51, the base-case value is $42.67 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$20.21
Analyst Range
$18.00 – $28.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
111%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 92%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 108% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $20.21 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 111% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples