Campbell Soup Company logo CPB - Campbell Soup Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 16
SELL 11
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.70 DETAILS
HIGH: $22.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $19.70
UPSIDE: 0.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.2% below fair value
Current Price $19.56
Bear Case $35.14 79.7% upside ($35.14 - $19.56) / $19.56 = 79.7% $2.51 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $42.67 118.1% upside ($42.67 - $19.56) / $19.56 = 118.1% $2.51 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $50.20 156.6% upside ($50.20 - $19.56) / $19.56 = 156.6% $2.51 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.51, the base-case value is $42.67 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $19.70
Analyst Range $18.00 – $22.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 117%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 92%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
⚠ The company pays out 108% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $19.70 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 117% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples