ConocoPhillips logo COP - ConocoPhillips

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 38
HOLD 10
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $148.73 DETAILS
HIGH: $189.00
LOW: $128.00
MEDIAN: $150.00
CONSENSUS: $148.73
UPSIDE: 10.28%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 75.9 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C 57.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 15.6% 81/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.38 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
B- 67.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 21.1% 94/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 3.1% 19/100
Contributes 6.8 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
A 87.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 25.6% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 4.4 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
A+ 93.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 21.4% 91/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.24x 96/100
Contributes 23.4 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A 87.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.64x 89/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 11.26x 87/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.40 86/100
Contributes 21.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C 54.5
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.40 43/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 10.9 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 new buy; 3 added.

Holders
4 +1
Avg Δ position
+75.3%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.