Colgate-Palmolive Company logo CL - Colgate-Palmolive Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 24
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.90 DETAILS
HIGH: $102.00
LOW: $79.00
MEDIAN: $99.50
CONSENSUS: $94.90
UPSIDE: 4.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 47.4% above fair value
Current Price $90.61
Bear Case $50.62 44.1% downside ($50.62 - $90.61) / $90.61 = -44.1% $2.77 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $61.45 32.2% downside ($61.45 - $90.61) / $90.61 = -32.2% $2.77 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $72.30 20.2% downside ($72.30 - $90.61) / $90.61 = -20.2% $2.77 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.77$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 32.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.90 from 45 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.45 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $94.90 (from 45 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples