CF Industries Holdings, Inc. logo CF - CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 14
SELL 6
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $128.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $129.00
CONSENSUS: $128.40
DOWNSIDE: 0.96%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 79.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B 70.4
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 27.0% 100/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.93 pp/yr 1/100
Contributes 10.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 35.2% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -5.5% 100/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
A- 84.6
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 11.4% 84/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 43.5% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A+ 95.4
  • 5yr FCF Margin 31.1% 100/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.55x 90/100
Contributes 14.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A 90.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.60x 89/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 15.45x 93/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.52 88/100
Contributes 22.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 43.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.89 4/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
Contributes 8.7 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 5 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
4 -1
Avg Δ position
+365.2%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.