Casey's General Stores, Inc. logo CASY - Casey's General Stores, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $927.31 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,069.00
LOW: $730.00
MEDIAN: $950.00
CONSENSUS: $927.31
UPSIDE: 9.99%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 71.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
C 56.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.1% 50/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.48 pp/yr 70/100
Contributes 11.2 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B 70.5
  • 5yr Avg ROE 12.9% 73/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.1% 66/100
Contributes 10.6 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
A- 83.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 7.9% 75/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 20.5% 95/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 12.4 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B- 67.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 3.3% 42/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.02x 100/100
Contributes 10.2 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
A 88.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 1.71x 74/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 5.89 100/100
Contributes 17.7 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C+ 59.2
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.46 35/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 8.9 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

2 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 1 trimmed; 3 full exits.

Holders
2 -2
Avg Δ position
-5.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
3
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.