Casey's General Stores, Inc. logo CASY - Casey's General Stores, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $701.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $915.00
LOW: $530.00
MEDIAN: $694.00
CONSENSUS: $701.60
DOWNSIDE: 14.96%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
C- 49.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 7.3% 47/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.05 pp/yr 56/100
Contributes 9.9 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 68.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 12.2% 71/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.0% 65/100
Contributes 10.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
A- 84.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 16.3% 93/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 15.0% 88/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 12.7 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B- 67.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 3.3% 42/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.05x 99/100
Contributes 10.1 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B+ 78.1
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.19x 66/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 8.21x 78/100
  • Altman Z-Score 7.03 100/100
Contributes 15.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C+ 60.3
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.42 41/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 9.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

2 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 1 trimmed; 3 full exits.

Holders
2 -2
Avg Δ position
-5.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
3
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.