AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CALM as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CALM is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CALM?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CALM's most recent reported fundamentals.

CALM - Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $100.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 7.2% below fair value

Current Price $90.32

Bear Case $77.85 13.8% downside ($77.85 - $90.32) / $90.32 = -13.8% $6.75 × 11x P/E

Fair Value $97.30 7.7% upside ($97.30 - $90.32) / $90.32 = 7.7% $6.75 × 14x P/E

Bull Case $116.77 29.3% upside ($116.77 - $90.32) / $90.32 = 29.3% $6.75 × 17x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

14.3x

Adjusted EPS

6.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $100.00 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $97.30 per share.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples