Brookline Bancorp, Inc. logo BRKL - Brookline Bancorp, Inc.

Inactive Ticker BRKL is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 2
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.9% below fair value
Current Price $10.95
Bear Case $8.70 20.5% downside ($8.70 - $10.95) / $10.95 = -20.5% ROTCE 5.4% → 0.30x TBV
Fair Value $12.43 13.5% upside ($12.43 - $10.95) / $10.95 = 13.5% ROTCE 7.1% → 0.59x TBV
Bull Case $16.16 47.6% upside ($16.16 - $10.95) / $10.95 = 47.6% ROTCE 8.2% → 0.79x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

7.1%
9.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (7.1%) vs. cost of equity (9.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.01x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 7.1% vs. 9.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.59x on $10.81 tangible book, implying $12.43 per share. DDM cross-check: $8.51.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (7.1%) is below the minimum investors require (9.3%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $8.51 (32% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly