Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. logo BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $217.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $257.00
LOW: $165.00
MEDIAN: $229.50
CONSENSUS: $217.50
UPSIDE: 47.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 7.6% below fair value
Current Price $147.40
Bear Case $118.39 19.7% downside ($118.39 - $147.40) / $147.40 = -19.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $159.52 8.2% upside ($159.52 - $147.40) / $147.40 = 8.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $198.20 34.5% upside ($198.20 - $147.40) / $147.40 = 34.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 19.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $217.50 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $159.52 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $217.50 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 36% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions