Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. logo BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $199.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $226.00
LOW: $176.00
MEDIAN: $197.00
CONSENSUS: $199.00
UPSIDE: 13.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 10.9% above fair value
Current Price $175.11
Bear Case $127.04 27.5% downside ($127.04 - $175.11) / $175.11 = -27.5% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $157.94 9.8% downside ($157.94 - $175.11) / $175.11 = -9.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $185.41 5.9% upside ($185.41 - $175.11) / $175.11 = 5.9% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 17.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.4% vs our 6.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $157.94 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $199.00
Analyst Range $176.00 – $226.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 21%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions