Blue Bird Corporation logo BLBD - Blue Bird Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $79.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $86.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $76.00
CONSENSUS: $79.00
UPSIDE: 19.16%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 72.8 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
A- 83.9
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 14.1% 77/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +3.61 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 12.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C 54.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 16.5% 84/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 4.9% 1/100
Contributes 8.2 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
A+ 96.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 21.3% 100/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 129.0% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 9.6 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C 55.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 2.7% 39/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.26x 76/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 99.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -0.72x 99/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 24.54x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 6.81 100/100
Contributes 24.8 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C- 46.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 1.02 0/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 9.3 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

3 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
-17.5%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.