BKU - BankUnited, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$50.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$48.00
MEDIAN:
$50.00
CONSENSUS:
$50.67
UPSIDE:
9.25%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
9.0%
10.8%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (9.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.8%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.13x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 9.0% vs. 10.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.74x on $40.95 tangible book, implying $38.94 per share. DDM cross-check: $28.08.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$50.67
Analyst Range
$48.00 – $54.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
23%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (9.0%) is below the minimum investors require (10.8%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $28.08 (28% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly