BHP Group Limited logo BHP - BHP Group Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 19
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $71.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $48.00
MEDIAN: $71.50
CONSENSUS: $71.50
DOWNSIDE: 15.48%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 66.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
B- 65.3
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 20.8% 93/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -3.41 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 16.3 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 87.2
  • 5yr Avg ROE 30.2% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.1% 64/100
Contributes 13.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
F 21.3
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -2.7% 15/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -6.0% 8/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 5.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
A+ 97.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin 27.7% 98/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.23x 96/100
Contributes 19.4 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
A+ 95.3
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.53x 90/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 20.34x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.92 100/100
Contributes 9.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C- 48.4
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.50 30/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 2.4 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

2 of 3 gurus held; 1 added; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
2 -1
Avg Δ position
+457.1%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.