BBY - Best Buy Co., Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$73.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$96.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$72.00
CONSENSUS:
$73.25
UPSIDE:
18.85%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
5.04$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.25 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $78.42 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $135.06 (above our primary estimate by 67%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples