Best Buy Co., Inc. logo BBY - Best Buy Co., Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 23
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $80.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $80.67
DOWNSIDE: 7.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 8.3% above fair value
Current Price $87.31
Bear Case $70.56 19.2% downside ($70.56 - $87.31) / $87.31 = -19.2% $5.04 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $80.64 7.6% downside ($80.64 - $87.31) / $87.31 = -7.6% $5.04 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $90.72 3.9% upside ($90.72 - $87.31) / $87.31 = 3.9% $5.04 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.04$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.04, the base-case value is $80.64 per share. DDM cross-check: $95.99.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (41 analysts) $80.67
Analyst Range $60.00 – $95.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 0%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples