Bath & Body Works, Inc. logo BBWI - Bath & Body Works, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $24.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $21.17
UPSIDE: 28.69%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 66.5% below fair value
Current Price $16.45
Bear Case $42.98 161.3% upside ($42.98 - $16.45) / $16.45 = 161.3% $3.07 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $49.12 198.6% upside ($49.12 - $16.45) / $16.45 = 198.6% $3.07 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $55.26 235.9% upside ($55.26 - $16.45) / $16.45 = 235.9% $3.07 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
3.07$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.07, the base-case value is $49.12 per share. DDM cross-check: $12.09.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $21.17
Analyst Range $19.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 132%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $12.09 (below our primary estimate by 75%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $21.17 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 132% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples