BBWI - Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$21.17
DETAILS
HIGH:
$24.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$21.00
CONSENSUS:
$21.17
UPSIDE:
28.69%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.07$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
5.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.07, the base-case value is $49.12 per share. DDM cross-check: $12.09.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$21.17
Analyst Range
$19.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
132%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $12.09 (below our primary estimate by 75%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.17 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 132% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples