Alibaba Group Holding Limited logo BABA - Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 51
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $193.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $225.00
LOW: $140.00
MEDIAN: $190.00
CONSENSUS: $193.20
UPSIDE: 48.62%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 55.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
D 38.1
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 5.4% 37/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.24 pp/yr 40/100
Contributes 7.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C+ 61.9
  • 5yr Avg ROE 6.8% 44/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -3.1% 95/100
Contributes 9.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
C- 48.3
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -35.9% 0/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 18.0% 92/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 7.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C- 46.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 3.6% 43/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.54x 50/100
Contributes 6.9 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
A- 82.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -7.00x 100/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.90x 69/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.78 69/100
Contributes 16.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C- 50.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.39 45/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 3 33/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 7.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

5 of 7 gurus held; 3 trimmed; 2 full exits.

Holders
5 -2
Avg Δ position
-26.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.