Alaska Air Group, Inc. logo ALK - Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $69.00
LOW: $54.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $62.00
UPSIDE: 53.43%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 44.4 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
F 24.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 4.0% 30/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.38 pp/yr 12/100
Contributes 4.9 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C 54.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 6.3% 41/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.0% 80/100
Contributes 8.2 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 31.9% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 16.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 0.8% 29/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -1.53x 0/100
Contributes 2.4 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
D- 29.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.69x 36/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 2.05x 29/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.10 17/100
Contributes 5.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
C 53.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.64 19/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 8.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

3 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 1 trimmed; 2 full exits.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
+3355.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.