Argan, Inc. logo AGX - Argan, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $446.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $518.00
LOW: $375.00
MEDIAN: $446.50
CONSENSUS: $446.50
DOWNSIDE: 31.97%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

A- 80.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 77.6
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 12.9% 73/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +1.20 pp/yr 88/100
Contributes 11.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A- 83.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 14.1% 77/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.8% 94/100
Contributes 12.4 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
A+ 93.2
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 16.7% 94/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 41.9% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 9.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 85.6
  • 5yr FCF Margin 16.0% 84/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.62x 88/100
Contributes 12.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 100.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -6.49x 100/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 9.55 100/100
Contributes 25.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C- 45.0
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.64 19/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 9.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

5 of 5 gurus held; 2 new buys; 1 added; 2 trimmed; 2 full exits.

Holders
5
Avg Δ position
+3.4%
New buys
2
Full exits
2
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.