Accel Entertainment: Chicago Gaming Could Unlock Significant Earnings Upside (Rating Upgrade)
Accel Entertainment is upgraded to BUY as Chicago gaming terminals may commence operations in August, offering significant incremental earnings potential. 2Q26 results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 10% yoy to $368m and adjusted EBITDA rising 11% yoy to $59m, driven by operational efficiencies and state expansion. ACEL benefits from above-sector median EBITDA growth, a strong balance sheet, ongoing share buybacks, and low forward EV/EBITDA valuation multiples.