Abbott Laboratories logo ABT - Abbott Laboratories

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 33
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $119.91 DETAILS
HIGH: $134.00
LOW: $92.00
MEDIAN: $120.00
CONSENSUS: $119.91
UPSIDE: 20.39%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 78.5% above fair value
Current Price $99.60
Bear Case $44.64 55.2% downside ($44.64 - $99.60) / $99.60 = -55.2% $3.72 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $55.80 44.0% downside ($55.80 - $99.60) / $99.60 = -44.0% $3.72 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $66.96 32.8% downside ($66.96 - $99.60) / $99.60 = -32.8% $3.72 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.72$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 26.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.72, the base-case value is $55.80 per share. DDM cross-check: $135.97.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (42 analysts) $119.91
Analyst Range $92.00 – $134.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 53%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $135.97 (above our primary estimate by 144%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $119.91 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 53% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples