Advance Auto Parts, Inc. logo AAP - Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 27
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $51.69 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $45.00
MEDIAN: $50.00
CONSENSUS: $51.69
UPSIDE: 21.40%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 23.2 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
F 12.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 1.6% 18/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.14 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C 54.6
  • 5yr Avg ROE 4.9% 35/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.6% 92/100
Contributes 8.2 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
F 14.1
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -3.2% 14/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -36.6% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 2.1 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 17.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 1.5% 32/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -0.66x 0/100
Contributes 2.7 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
F 11.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 6.57x 3/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 0.35x 5/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.71 33/100
Contributes 2.2 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
D 36.7
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.51 30/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 4 44/100
Contributes 5.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

3 of 4 gurus held; 3 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
-53.6%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.