Advance Auto Parts, Inc. logo AAP - Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 27
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $59.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $54.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $59.80
UPSIDE: 3.19%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 24.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
F 12.5
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 1.6% 18/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.14 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
C+ 59.6
  • 5yr Avg ROE 7.3% 46/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.6% 84/100
Contributes 8.9 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
F 11.6
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -6.0% 8/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -47.4% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 1.7 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 17.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 1.5% 32/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -0.66x 0/100
Contributes 2.7 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
F 11.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 6.57x 3/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 0.35x 5/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.81 35/100
Contributes 2.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
D+ 43.3
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.51 30/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
+23.2%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.