Alcoa Corporation logo AA - Alcoa Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 22
HOLD 18
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $65.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $53.00
MEDIAN: $69.00
CONSENSUS: $65.50
UPSIDE: 31.08%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Other Commodity Producers

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 51.0 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for other commodity producers businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D 38.3
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.9% 55/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.99 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 5.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
F 14.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 2.3% 22/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 7.2% 0/100
Contributes 1.4 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
B 71.3
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 6.5% 67/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 3.6 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
C 54.3
  • 5yr FCF Margin 1.5% 33/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.81x 81/100
Contributes 13.6 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B 72.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.55x 90/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 7.73x 76/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.94 39/100
Contributes 18.2 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 42.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.86 6/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 8.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

5 of 6 gurus held; 1 added; 4 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
5 -1
Avg Δ position
-19.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.