Zoom Communications, Inc. logo ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 27
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $118.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $133.00
LOW: $104.00
MEDIAN: $121.50
CONSENSUS: $118.50
UPSIDE: 28.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.7% below fair value
Current Price $91.88
Bear Case $92.39 0.6% upside ($92.39 - $91.88) / $91.88 = 0.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $102.83 11.9% upside ($102.83 - $91.88) / $91.88 = 11.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $111.86 21.7% upside ($111.86 - $91.88) / $91.88 = 21.7% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 14.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 4.3% vs our 5.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $118.50 from 49 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $102.83 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 40% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions