Zoom Communications, Inc. logo ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 27
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $117.18 DETAILS
HIGH: $130.00
LOW: $104.00
MEDIAN: $118.00
CONSENSUS: $117.18
UPSIDE: 10.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 3.5% above fair value
Current Price $105.64
Bear Case $91.72 13.2% downside ($91.72 - $105.64) / $105.64 = -13.2% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $102.09 3.4% downside ($102.09 - $105.64) / $105.64 = -3.4% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $111.05 5.1% upside ($111.05 - $105.64) / $105.64 = 5.1% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 17.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $117.18 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $102.09 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 40% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions