Zoom Communications, Inc. logo ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 27
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $118.08 DETAILS
HIGH: $133.00
LOW: $104.00
MEDIAN: $116.00
CONSENSUS: $118.08
UPSIDE: 23.89%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 1.5% below fair value
Current Price $95.31
Bear Case $86.66 9.1% downside ($86.66 - $95.31) / $95.31 = -9.1% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $96.72 1.5% upside ($96.72 - $95.31) / $95.31 = 1.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $105.45 10.6% upside ($105.45 - $95.31) / $95.31 = 10.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 14.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 5.0% vs our 5.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $96.72 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (49 analysts) $118.08
Analyst Range $104.00 – $133.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 18%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 40% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions