ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$118.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$133.00
LOW:
$104.00
MEDIAN:
$121.50
CONSENSUS:
$118.50
UPSIDE:
28.97%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
14.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
4.3%
vs our 5.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $118.50 from 49 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $102.83 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 40% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions