ZipRecruiter, Inc. logo ZIP - ZipRecruiter, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 2
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $3.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $3.50
LOW: $3.50
MEDIAN: $3.50
CONSENSUS: $3.50
DOWNSIDE: 9.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.6% below fair value
Current Price $3.87
Bear Case $5.22 34.8% upside ($5.22 - $3.87) / $3.87 = 34.8% $0.48 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $6.52 68.4% upside ($6.52 - $3.87) / $3.87 = 68.4% $0.48 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $7.82 102.2% upside ($7.82 - $3.87) / $3.87 = 102.2% $0.48 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.48$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $3.50 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $6.52 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $3.50 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 108% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples