ZipRecruiter, Inc. logo ZIP - ZipRecruiter, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $4.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.00
LOW: $4.50
MEDIAN: $4.75
CONSENSUS: $4.75
UPSIDE: 9.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 81.6% above fair value
Current Price $4.35
Bear Case $1.92 56.0% downside ($1.92 - $4.35) / $4.35 = -56.0% $0.16 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $2.39 44.9% downside ($2.39 - $4.35) / $4.35 = -44.9% $0.16 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $2.87 33.9% downside ($2.87 - $4.35) / $4.35 = -33.9% $0.16 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.16, the base-case value is $2.39 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $4.75
Analyst Range $4.50 – $5.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 50%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $4.75 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples