ZBRA - Zebra Technologies Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$363.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$430.00
LOW:
$310.00
MEDIAN:
$357.50
CONSENSUS:
$363.67
UPSIDE:
0.74%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
8.18$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
44.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.18, the base-case value is $122.70 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$363.67
Analyst Range
$310.00 – $430.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
66%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $363.67 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples