Zebra Technologies Corporation logo ZBRA - Zebra Technologies Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $312.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $345.00
LOW: $256.00
MEDIAN: $316.50
CONSENSUS: $312.33
UPSIDE: 22.22%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.6% above fair value
Current Price $255.55
Bear Case $147.52 42.3% downside ($147.52 - $255.55) / $255.55 = -42.3% $9.45 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $184.40 27.8% downside ($184.40 - $255.55) / $255.55 = -27.8% $9.45 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $221.28 13.4% downside ($221.28 - $255.55) / $255.55 = -13.4% $9.45 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
9.45$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $312.33 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $184.40 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $312.33 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 55% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples