Zebra Technologies Corporation logo ZBRA - Zebra Technologies Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $363.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $430.00
LOW: $310.00
MEDIAN: $357.50
CONSENSUS: $363.67
UPSIDE: 0.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 194.2% above fair value
Current Price $360.99
Bear Case $98.16 72.8% downside ($98.16 - $360.99) / $360.99 = -72.8% $8.18 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $122.70 66.0% downside ($122.70 - $360.99) / $360.99 = -66.0% $8.18 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $147.24 59.2% downside ($147.24 - $360.99) / $360.99 = -59.2% $8.18 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
8.18$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 44.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.18, the base-case value is $122.70 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (27 analysts) $363.67
Analyst Range $310.00 – $430.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 66%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $363.67 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples