AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Zillow Group, Inc. Class C's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag Z as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Zillow Group, Inc. Class C's fair value?

Fair value for Z is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value Z?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from Z's most recent reported fundamentals.

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $67.75 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 61.1% above fair value

Current Price $36.34

Bear Case $22.55 37.9% downside ($22.55 - $36.34) / $36.34 = -37.9% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Fair Value $22.55 37.9% downside ($22.55 - $36.34) / $36.34 = -37.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Bull Case $22.55 37.9% downside ($22.55 - $36.34) / $36.34 = -37.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

9.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)

12.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $67.75 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.55 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 1696% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $67.75 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 95% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions