YORW - The York Water Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$31.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$31.00
LOW:
$31.00
MEDIAN:
$31.00
CONSENSUS:
$31.00
DOWNSIDE:
9.14%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
1.39$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.39, the base-case value is $22.24 per share. DDM cross-check: $19.51.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples