YEXT - Yext, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$8.20
DETAILS
HIGH:
$10.50
LOW:
$7.00
MEDIAN:
$8.00
CONSENSUS:
$8.20
UPSIDE:
122.83%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
High-Growth Software
80% confidence
Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF
Adjust Assumptions
2.0%
23.0%
12.0%
Key Value Driver
Revenue growth (2%) × margin expansion to 23%
Terminal Value % of EV
52%
Implied Market Multiple
1.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a discounted cash flow model based on revenue growth and long-run free cash flow margins. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $8.20 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.14 per share.
Key Risks
- Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
- SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
- Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep