Yext, Inc. logo YEXT - Yext, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $8.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.50
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $8.00
CONSENSUS: $8.20
UPSIDE: 18.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

High-Growth Software 80% confidence

Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 13.4% below fair value
Current Price $6.91
Bear Case $9.53 37.9% upside ($9.53 - $6.91) / $6.91 = 37.9% 8% rev growth, 17% terminal margin
Fair Value $7.98 15.4% upside ($7.98 - $6.91) / $6.91 = 15.4% 1% rev growth, 23% terminal margin
Bull Case $9.08 31.4% upside ($9.08 - $6.91) / $6.91 = 31.4% 1% rev growth, 26% terminal margin

Adjust Assumptions

1.0%
23.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

Revenue growth (1%) × margin expansion to 23%

Terminal Value % of EV 50%
Implied Market Multiple 1.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Projecting 1% revenue growth with FCF margins expanding from 14% to 23% over 10 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case value is $7.98 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $8.20
Analyst Range $7.00 – $10.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Key Risks

  • Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
  • SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
  • Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep