YEXT - Yext, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$8.20
DETAILS
HIGH:
$10.50
LOW:
$7.00
MEDIAN:
$8.00
CONSENSUS:
$8.20
UPSIDE:
18.67%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
High-Growth Software
80% confidence
Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF
Adjust Assumptions
1.0%
23.0%
12.0%
Key Value Driver
Revenue growth (1%) × margin expansion to 23%
Terminal Value % of EV
50%
Implied Market Multiple
1.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Projecting 1% revenue growth with FCF margins expanding from 14% to 23% over 10 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case value is $7.98 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$8.20
Analyst Range
$7.00 – $10.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
3%
Key Risks
- Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
- SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
- Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep