Yext, Inc. logo YEXT - Yext, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $8.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.50
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $8.00
CONSENSUS: $8.20
UPSIDE: 122.83%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

High-Growth Software 80% confidence

Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 48.5% below fair value
Current Price $3.68
Bear Case $7.94 115.8% upside ($7.94 - $3.68) / $3.68 = 115.8% 8% rev growth, 17% terminal margin
Fair Value $7.14 94.1% upside ($7.14 - $3.68) / $3.68 = 94.1% 2% rev growth, 23% terminal margin
Bull Case $8.33 126.4% upside ($8.33 - $3.68) / $3.68 = 126.4% 3% rev growth, 26% terminal margin

Adjust Assumptions

2.0%
23.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

Revenue growth (2%) × margin expansion to 23%

Terminal Value % of EV 52%
Implied Market Multiple 1.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a discounted cash flow model based on revenue growth and long-run free cash flow margins. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $8.20 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.14 per share.

Key Risks

  • Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
  • SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
  • Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep