Yext, Inc. logo YEXT - Yext, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $8.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.50
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $8.00
CONSENSUS: $8.20
UPSIDE: 51.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

High-Growth Software 80% confidence

Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.6% below fair value
Current Price $5.43
Bear Case $8.26 52.1% upside ($8.26 - $5.43) / $5.43 = 52.1% 8% rev growth, 17% terminal margin
Fair Value $6.92 27.5% upside ($6.92 - $5.43) / $5.43 = 27.5% 1% rev growth, 23% terminal margin
Bull Case $7.91 45.6% upside ($7.91 - $5.43) / $5.43 = 45.6% 1% rev growth, 26% terminal margin

Adjust Assumptions

1.0%
23.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

Revenue growth (1%) × margin expansion to 23%

Terminal Value % of EV 51%
Implied Market Multiple 1.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a discounted cash flow model based on revenue growth and long-run free cash flow margins. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $8.20 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $6.92 per share.

Key Risks

  • Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
  • SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
  • Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep