YETI - YETI Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$56.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$42.00
MEDIAN:
$56.50
CONSENSUS:
$56.75
UPSIDE:
31.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
7.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (7% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
32%
Implied Market Multiple
18.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
9.9%
vs our 7.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $34.94 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$56.75
Analyst Range
$42.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
38%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $56.75 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 38% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions