YETI Holdings, Inc. logo YETI - YETI Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 11
HOLD 11
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $51.00
CONSENSUS: $50.44
UPSIDE: 11.54%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.1% above fair value
Current Price $45.22
Bear Case $31.60 30.1% downside ($31.60 - $45.22) / $45.22 = -30.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $38.63 14.6% downside ($38.63 - $45.22) / $45.22 = -14.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $44.97 0.5% downside ($44.97 - $45.22) / $45.22 = -0.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 19.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.44 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $38.63 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $50.44 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions