YETI Holdings, Inc. logo YETI - YETI Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $57.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $80.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $56.00
CONSENSUS: $57.44
UPSIDE: 45.05%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 12.7% above fair value
Current Price $39.60
Bear Case $28.62 27.7% downside ($28.62 - $39.60) / $39.60 = -27.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $35.13 11.3% downside ($35.13 - $39.60) / $39.60 = -11.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $41.03 3.6% upside ($41.03 - $39.60) / $39.60 = 3.6% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 17.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.7% vs our 7.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $35.13 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $57.44
Analyst Range $46.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 39%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $57.44 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions