Yelp Inc. logo YELP - Yelp Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 28
HOLD 29
SELL 10
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $28.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $28.40
UPSIDE: 26.84%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 66.7% below fair value
Current Price $22.39
Bear Case $61.52 174.8% upside ($61.52 - $22.39) / $22.39 = 174.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $67.30 200.6% upside ($67.30 - $22.39) / $22.39 = 200.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $73.61 228.8% upside ($73.61 - $22.39) / $22.39 = 228.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 3.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $28.40 from 67 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $67.30 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $28.40 (from 67 analysts). Our estimate is 211% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions