Yelp Inc. logo YELP - Yelp Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 28
HOLD 29
SELL 10
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $27.33
UPSIDE: 17.90%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 72.7% below fair value
Current Price $23.18
Bear Case $81.07 249.8% upside ($81.07 - $23.18) / $23.18 = 249.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $84.86 266.1% upside ($84.86 - $23.18) / $23.18 = 266.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $91.50 294.8% upside ($91.50 - $23.18) / $23.18 = 294.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 3.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -19.6% vs our 3.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $84.86 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (67 analysts) $27.33
Analyst Range $24.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 211%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.33 (from 67 analysts). Our estimate is 211% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions