YELP - Yelp Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$27.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$30.00
LOW:
$24.00
MEDIAN:
$28.00
CONSENSUS:
$27.33
UPSIDE:
17.90%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
3.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (4% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
33%
Implied Market Multiple
3.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-19.6%
vs our 3.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $84.86 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (67 analysts)
$27.33
Analyst Range
$24.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
211%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $27.33 (from 67 analysts). Our estimate is 211% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions