DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. logo XRAY - DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 18
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $12.00
CONSENSUS: $12.67
DOWNSIDE: 6.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.0% below fair value
Current Price $13.49
Bear Case $18.29 35.6% upside ($18.29 - $13.49) / $13.49 = 35.6% $1.81 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $22.85 69.4% upside ($22.85 - $13.49) / $13.49 = 69.4% $1.81 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $27.43 103.3% upside ($27.43 - $13.49) / $13.49 = 103.3% $1.81 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.67 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.85 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.67 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 115% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples