WYNN - Wynn Resorts, Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$131.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$143.00
LOW:
$120.00
MEDIAN:
$130.50
CONSENSUS:
$131.80
UPSIDE:
43.98%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
8.1%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (8% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
37%
Implied Market Multiple
17.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
7.3%
vs our 8.1% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $102.94 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (45 analysts)
$131.80
Analyst Range
$120.00 – $143.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
22%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions