Wynn Resorts, Limited logo WYNN - Wynn Resorts, Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 29
HOLD 15
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $131.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $143.00
LOW: $120.00
MEDIAN: $130.50
CONSENSUS: $131.80
UPSIDE: 43.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.1% below fair value
Current Price $91.54
Bear Case $60.33 34.1% downside ($60.33 - $91.54) / $91.54 = -34.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $102.94 12.5% upside ($102.94 - $91.54) / $91.54 = 12.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $142.70 55.9% upside ($142.70 - $91.54) / $91.54 = 55.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 17.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.3% vs our 8.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $102.94 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (45 analysts) $131.80
Analyst Range $120.00 – $143.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 22%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions