WTRG - Essential Utilities, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$44.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$49.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$44.50
CONSENSUS:
$44.50
UPSIDE:
3.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.0x
2.2$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.20, the base-case value is $41.81 per share. DDM cross-check: $46.71.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (18 analysts)
$44.50
Analyst Range
$40.00 – $49.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
6%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples