AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes W&T Offshore, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag WTI as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is W&T Offshore, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for WTI is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value WTI?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from WTI's most recent reported fundamentals.

WTI - W&T Offshore, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 23.6% above fair value

Current Price $4.43

Bear Case $1.13 74.5% downside ($1.13 - $4.43) / $4.43 = -74.5% FCF $47M × 8x

Fair Value $3.59 19.1% downside ($3.59 - $4.43) / $4.43 = -19.1% FCF $68M × 11x

Bull Case $6.86 54.8% upside ($6.86 - $4.43) / $4.43 = 54.8% FCF $88M × 14x

Adjust Assumptions

Oil Price ($/bbl)

75.0$/bbl

EV/FCF Multiple

11.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.9x

Plain-Language Summary

At $75/bbl oil with a 11x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $3.59 per share. Range: $1.13 (bear) to $6.86 (bull).

Warnings

⚠ Debt per share ($1.41) is significant relative to the stock price. Even small changes in the debt figure meaningfully shift what each share is worth.

⚠ If oil drops to $60/barrel, the stock could fall -74%. Check whether the company can survive at low prices and still pay its dividend.

ℹ Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential