WisdomTree, Inc. logo WT - WisdomTree, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $22.46 DETAILS
HIGH: $27.00
LOW: $18.30
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $22.46
DOWNSIDE: 9.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 188.6% above fair value
Current Price $24.76
Bear Case $6.31 74.5% downside ($6.31 - $24.76) / $24.76 = -74.5% ROTCE 19.8% → 2.33x TBV
Fair Value $8.58 65.3% downside ($8.58 - $24.76) / $24.76 = -65.3% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.11x TBV
Bull Case $11.15 55.0% downside ($11.15 - $24.76) / $24.76 = -55.0% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.84x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

26.4%
10.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (26.4%) vs. cost of equity (10.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 9.15x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 26.4% vs. 10.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.11x on $2.70 tangible book, implying $8.58 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $22.46
Analyst Range $18.30 – $27.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 62%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $22.46 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly