WisdomTree, Inc. logo WT - WisdomTree, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.05 DETAILS
HIGH: $29.00
LOW: $21.30
MEDIAN: $26.50
CONSENSUS: $26.05
UPSIDE: 15.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 163.5% above fair value
Current Price $22.61
Bear Case $6.33 72.0% downside ($6.33 - $22.61) / $22.61 = -72.0% ROTCE 19.8% → 2.34x TBV
Fair Value $8.58 62.1% downside ($8.58 - $22.61) / $22.61 = -62.1% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.11x TBV
Bull Case $11.15 50.7% downside ($11.15 - $22.61) / $22.61 = -50.7% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.85x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

26.4%
10.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (26.4%) vs. cost of equity (10.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 8.36x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 26.4% vs. 10.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.11x on $2.70 tangible book, implying $8.58 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $26.05
Analyst Range $21.30 – $29.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 67%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $26.05 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly