WisdomTree, Inc. logo WT - WisdomTree, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $22.00
LOW: $16.80
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $19.86
UPSIDE: 3.33%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 59.4% above fair value
Current Price $19.22
Bear Case $8.44 56.1% downside ($8.44 - $19.22) / $19.22 = -56.1% ROTCE 19.8% → 2.32x TBV
Fair Value $12.06 37.3% downside ($12.06 - $19.22) / $19.22 = -37.3% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.30x TBV
Bull Case $15.68 18.4% downside ($15.68 - $19.22) / $19.22 = -18.4% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.83x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

26.4%
10.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (26.4%) vs. cost of equity (10.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 7.11x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $19.86 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.06 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $19.86 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly