WT - WisdomTree, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$26.05
DETAILS
HIGH:
$29.00
LOW:
$21.30
MEDIAN:
$26.50
CONSENSUS:
$26.05
UPSIDE:
15.21%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
26.4%
10.7%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (26.4%) vs. cost of equity (10.7%)
Implied Market Multiple
8.36x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 26.4% vs. 10.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.11x on $2.70 tangible book, implying $8.58 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$26.05
Analyst Range
$21.30 – $29.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
67%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $26.05 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly