WSR - Whitestone REIT
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$17.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$19.00
LOW:
$15.00
MEDIAN:
$17.50
CONSENSUS:
$17.33
DOWNSIDE:
8.74%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.67) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
11.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.67 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $32.61 per share. Dividend yield: 2.0%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$17.33
Analyst Range
$15.00 – $19.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
88%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 2.0% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
Wall Street's average price target is $17.33 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 88% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify