Whitestone REIT logo WSR - Whitestone REIT

Inactive Ticker WSR is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $19.00
UPSIDE: 0.05%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.7% below fair value
Current Price $18.99
Bear Case $26.06 37.2% upside ($26.06 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 37.2% $1.67 FFO × 16x
Fair Value $32.58 71.5% upside ($32.58 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 71.5% $1.67 FFO × 20x
Bull Case $39.09 105.8% upside ($39.09 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 105.8% $1.67 FFO × 23x

Adjust Assumptions

19.5x
1.67$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($1.67) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 11.4x

Plain-Language Summary

At $1.67 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $32.58 per share. Dividend yield: 2.0%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $19.00
Analyst Range $19.00 – $19.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 71%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 2.0% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
Wall Street's average price target is $19.00 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 71% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify