Whitestone REIT logo WSR - Whitestone REIT

Inactive Ticker WSR is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $17.50
CONSENSUS: $17.33
DOWNSIDE: 8.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.8% below fair value
Current Price $18.99
Bear Case $26.09 37.4% upside ($26.09 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 37.4% $1.67 FFO × 16x
Fair Value $32.61 71.7% upside ($32.61 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 71.7% $1.67 FFO × 20x
Bull Case $39.13 106.1% upside ($39.13 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 106.1% $1.67 FFO × 23x

Adjust Assumptions

19.5x
1.67$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($1.67) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 11.4x

Plain-Language Summary

At $1.67 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $32.61 per share. Dividend yield: 2.0%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $17.33
Analyst Range $15.00 – $19.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 88%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
ℹ The 2.0% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $17.33 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 88% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify