Worthington Industries, Inc. logo WOR - Worthington Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $75.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $75.00
CONSENSUS: $75.00
UPSIDE: 16.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 7.4% above fair value
Current Price $64.21
Bear Case $47.83 25.5% downside ($47.83 - $64.21) / $64.21 = -25.5% $3.99 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $59.79 6.9% downside ($59.79 - $64.21) / $64.21 = -6.9% $3.99 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $71.75 11.7% upside ($71.75 - $64.21) / $64.21 = 11.7% $3.99 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.99$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.99, the base-case value is $59.79 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $75.00
Analyst Range $75.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples