Worthington Industries, Inc. logo WOR - Worthington Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $66.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $67.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $66.00
UPSIDE: 15.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 1.3% below fair value
Current Price $57.18
Bear Case $46.34 19.0% downside ($46.34 - $57.18) / $57.18 = -19.0% $3.68 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $57.91 1.3% upside ($57.91 - $57.18) / $57.18 = 1.3% $3.68 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $69.50 21.6% upside ($69.50 - $57.18) / $57.18 = 21.6% $3.68 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.68$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $66.00 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $57.91 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples