Worthington Industries, Inc. logo WOR - Worthington Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $67.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $69.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $67.00
CONSENSUS: $67.00
UPSIDE: 21.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.6% below fair value
Current Price $55.14
Bear Case $60.11 9.0% upside ($60.11 - $55.14) / $55.14 = 9.0% $5.19 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $75.14 36.3% upside ($75.14 - $55.14) / $55.14 = 36.3% $5.19 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $90.16 63.5% upside ($90.16 - $55.14) / $55.14 = 63.5% $5.19 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
5.19$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $67.00 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $75.14 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 170%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples