Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. logo WMS - Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 11
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $192.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $205.00
LOW: $168.00
MEDIAN: $196.50
CONSENSUS: $192.67
UPSIDE: 44.86%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 68.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B 74.1
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 12.5% 72/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.83 pp/yr 80/100
Contributes 11.1 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B 74.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 22.4% 96/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 1.9% 34/100
Contributes 11.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
B- 68.8
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 3.6% 49/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 14.6% 87/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 6.9 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
A- 86.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 14.3% 80/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.95x 95/100
Contributes 13.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
B 71.5
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.64x 57/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 6.60x 71/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.50 97/100
Contributes 17.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 41.4
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.74 11/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

3 of 3 gurus held; 2 added.

Holders
3
Avg Δ position
+14.4%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.