WMK - Weis Markets, Inc.
Price:
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AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
12.0x
3.73$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (12x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 12x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.73, the base-case value is $44.73 per share. DDM cross-check: $20.82.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $20.82 (below our primary estimate by 53%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples