WMB - The Williams Companies, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$83.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$98.00
LOW:
$73.00
MEDIAN:
$82.00
CONSENSUS:
$83.50
UPSIDE:
8.67%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.9x
2.56$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
30.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $83.50 from 34 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.48 per share.
Warnings
The company pays out 96% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $55.99 (above our primary estimate by 38%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $83.50 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples