WMB - The Williams Companies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$87.73
DETAILS
HIGH:
$103.00
LOW:
$75.00
MEDIAN:
$85.00
CONSENSUS:
$87.73
UPSIDE:
18.25%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.9x
2.14$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.14, the base-case value is $33.92 per share. DDM cross-check: $57.71.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (34 analysts)
$87.73
Analyst Range
$75.00 – $103.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
61%
Warnings
The company pays out 97% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $57.71 (above our primary estimate by 70%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $87.73 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples